The loop: smooth, runnable, and a pacing trap
Because the footing is so good and the hills are so gentle, you can run almost all of this course, and that is exactly the problem. The first couple of loops feel easy, your legs are fresh, the bridle path begs you to roll, and it is the simplest thing in the world to bank time you think you will need later. Resist it. The runners who finish strong at Umstead treat the early loops as a warm-up they are deliberately holding back on, hiking the gentle grades they could easily run and saving the legs for loop 6, 7, and 8.
You will learn the loop intimately, and that cuts both ways. The handful of longer grades become familiar landmarks, which helps you meter your effort, but the sameness also wears on you. Break the race into loops, not miles. Eight times around a course you know cold is a very different mental game than one long point-to-point, and the people who plan for that do better than the people who get surprised by it.